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13:35
Fed's Daly: Avoiding Hasty Reactions Amid Rapid Global Changes
On July 2, Fed's Daly stated that efforts should be made to obtain better inflation data whenever possible. Attention should be paid to improved inflation and labor data, but the targets should not be altered. In a rapidly changing world, there is a desire to avoid hasty reactions. I am a gradualist and prefer to proceed slowly.
13:21
Non-Farm Data and Waller's Recent Remarks Boost Gold Prices
On July 2, lower-than-expected U.S. non-farm employment data lifted gold prices, which are currently up 2% after a slight decline before the report was released. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, only 57,000 non-farm jobs were added in June, significantly below analysts' previous forecast of 115,000. This unexpected data drove up stock and commodity prices, alleviating market concerns about future interest rate hikes. Remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Waller also eased worries about interest rates. The most actively traded silver also rose, increasing by 4%.
13:20
Slowing Job Growth Indicates Limited Pressure on Fed to Tighten Policy
On July 2, following the release of the latest employment data by the U.S. government, the market on Thursday bet that the case for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates later this month has significantly weakened due to a noticeable slowdown in job growth. The highly anticipated employment report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that non-farm payrolls increased by 57,000 in June, which is about half of what economists had expected. The job growth data for May was revised down from an initially reported 172,000 to 129,000. Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, wrote: 'The slowdown in job growth challenges the expectations of labor market recovery seen in recent months, but more importantly, it reinforces the view that the Federal Reserve faces limited pressure to tighten policy.' Currently, short-term interest rate futures traders believe the probability of a rate hike in July has dropped to below 20%, but they still see a higher likelihood of a rate increase in September.
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