News

BlockBeats News, June 13th, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate in June is currently at 97.4%, with a 2.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.

BlockBeats News, June 13th, according to Coinglass data, the entire network liquidated $120 million in the past 24 hours, with $71.35 million in long liquidations and $48.36 million in short liquidations.

BlockBeats News, June 13th - Cryptocurrency analyst Darkfost posted on social media, stating that Bitcoin is currently facing one of the most challenging US Treasury yield environments since its inception. Although historically the US Federal Reserve rate and the US Dollar Index have reached higher levels, the current long-term US bond yield remains elevated, with the 30-year and 10-year bond yields fluctuating in the range of 4.5% to 5%. Coupled with the market's increasing expectations of another interest rate hike later this year, this has led to a high funding cost and a tightening liquidity environment. Analysts believe that in this high-yield environment, investors are more inclined to allocate to low-risk fixed-income assets, thereby weakening the attractiveness of risk assets including Bitcoin. Historical experience shows that rising bond yields often coincide with tightening financial conditions, putting pressure on Bitcoin's price trend. The current market is at a key inflection point, where the risk premium provided by risk assets compared to long-term bonds is being compressed. However, if the future macroeconomic outlook becomes clearer, investors regain confidence in the bond market, funds flow into bonds pushing yields lower, and the risk premium expands again, thereby improving the investment environment for risk assets like Bitcoin. The market generally believes that this process may take several months, and the evolution path will largely depend on US government policies and the overall economic situation.