Ethena USDeの‌価格

$GRVT As of Oct. 25, Circle’s USDC made up around 80% of the net 30-day drop among the 13 largest stablecoins, according to monthly DeFiLlama figures. Circle’s token lost $4.69 billion in the month. The 13 tokens lost $5.82 billion in net value. USDC’s market cap was $71.743 billion, down $878.72 million just in the last week. Tether gives up $1.29 billion and keeps a 60.74% share The total stablecoin market declined to $300.36 billion on Oct. 25. DeFiLlama data shows it has lost $12.73 billion since May 22. Tether’s USDT fell less over the month. It had a market cap of $182.423 billion, down $1.29 billion in 30 days, down $990.43 million in 7 days and still possesses 60.74% of the market. The seven-day shrinkage across the 15 largest stablecoins was about $1.90 billion. Ethena’s USDe fell $305.61 million over the month. World Liberty Financial’s USD1 declined $444.67 million, or 10.10%. Falcon’s USDf added $511.16 million, a 42.32% increase, while PayPal’s PYUSD added $239.53 million in the same 30-day period. Tokenized Treasuries shed $1.55 billion since August Minting stablecoins generally increases supply, while redeeming them for fiat diminishes it, potentially pulling money that might otherwise have gone into buying Bitcoin or Ether. Supply grew during the 2020-2021 bull market and shrank after Terra’s collapse in 2022, which just so happened to coincide with a protracted crypto bear market. Bitcoin is trading near $80,000, far off its October 2025 record of around $126,000. Tokenized U.S. Treasury products like BlackRock’s BUIDL and Ondo’s USDY also shrank, declining from $16.2 billion on Aug. 12 to $14.65 billion on Oct. 25, according to data from rwa.xyz. Those who hold the Treasury tokens can redeem them to buy stablecoins or risk assets or shift cash back into bank accounts. The combined fall was $1.55 billion. Standard Chartered postponed its prediction of a $2 trillion stablecoin market from 2028 to 2030. The stall in supply growth is cyclical and tied to weak crypto markets, said Geoffrey Kendrick, the bank’s head of digital assets research, who noted supply has been stuck between $300 billion and $320 billion over the past year. Circle is also defending the economics of USDC. Cryptopolitan reports that Circle’s October 16 blog post disclosed that ~$819 million, or about 59 cents on the dollar, of the company’s ~$1.4 billion revenue in the first half of 2026 went to firms distributing USDC and to transaction costs. The post was seen as a reaction to Open USD, a rival token launched June 30 that promises free minting and redemption. The consortium behind Open USD says partners can keep all the interest its reserves earn, minus a small management fee. The smartest crypto minds already read our newsletter. Want in? Join them.

$GRVT Star Xu, CEO of OKX, has raised significant concerns about Binance’s promotion of $USDe during a recent podcast. He characterized $USDe, issued by Ethena, as a ‘tokenized hedge fund’ that presents higher risks than implied through its delta-neutral strategy. His insights suggest that the leverage mechanisms tied to $USDe could lead to serious financial repercussions, particularly in light of the recent ‘1010’ crash. For further details, refer to the tweet by WuBlockchain. The Key Development The broader crypto market is currently exhibiting mixed signals, with major assets showing varying momentum. Xu’s remarks come at a time when $USDe is under scrutiny for its leverage strategy, particularly the practice of borrowing USDT against $USDe and using it to generate more $USDe. This cycle could heighten risk exposure for users, leading to potential cascading liquidations similar to those seen during the ‘1010’ crash. Ethena’s partnership with Binance to offer $USDe as a stablecoin also raises questions about risk management practices in the rapidly evolving crypto derivatives space. $USDe is a stablecoin issued by Ethena, designed to provide users with yield opportunities while maintaining a stable value. However, its structure and the leverage strategies associated with it have attracted scrutiny, especially from prominent figures like Star Xu, emphasizing the need for better risk controls in the sector. Key Levels to Watch Traders should closely monitor $USDe’s performance and any developments related to its leverage strategy. The recent comments from Star Xu could influence market sentiment and prompt regulatory scrutiny. As the crypto landscape evolves, understanding the implications of such leverage mechanisms will be crucial for risk management and investment decisions.

Why the buyback math leads to $2 Once those thresholds are crossed, the $ENA valuation increasingly depends on how much of Ethena’s economics can be directed toward token holders. The approved framework allocates 95% of qualifying net revenue paid to the Ethena Foundation from covered businesses toward $ENA buybacks. Ethena does not retain the full yield generated by the assets supporting $USDe, making the distinction between gross and net revenue central to the calculation. Blockworks Advisory’s analysis modeled the protocol’s share of gross revenue increasing with $USDe supply, beginning at about 5% around $7.5 billion and reaching 20% by $20 billion. The model used a 6% protocol yield as an illustrative assumption, not a guaranteed return. At the much larger scale envisioned by Standard Chartered, those economics become substantial. The bank estimates that if $USDe reaches $40 billion, $ENA purchases could amount to roughly 23% of the token’s current market value annually if its price remained unchanged. Standard Chartered does not expect such a percentage to persist. It argues that investors would capitalize the expected stream of purchases into $ENA’s valuation, pushing the token higher and reducing annual buybacks as a percentage of its market capitalization. The bank points to Uniswap as an analog, saying UNI’s annualized buyback percentage has settled around 3% to 4% as the token appreciated after activating its fee switch. Applying a comparable equilibrium to Ethena underpins Standard Chartered’s $2 target. But the mechanism introduces its own constraint. Capturing a larger share of Ethena’s revenue for the protocol can reduce what remains available to sUSDe holders. That creates a balancing act: Ethena needs enough margin to support $ENA purchases while maintaining sufficiently competitive yields to keep attracting the deposits required for $USDe to grow. The assumptions become more demanding as supply rises. The 6% return used in the framework has not been guaranteed across market cycles, while the higher revenue-capture tiers have yet to be tested at the scale Standard Chartered expects. That leaves investors with several nearer-term checkpoints before the $2 target becomes relevant. $USDe must first cross the $7.5 billion fee-switch threshold and reclaim its previous peak. Beyond that, Ethena will have to show that its newer yield strategies can absorb tens of billions of dollars without materially compressing returns. How quickly those thresholds are crossed will determine whether Standard Chartered’s projected buyback engine begins to resemble the one embedded in its valuation model. $COST

$GRVT Standard Chartered initiated coverage of Ethena's $ENA token on Wednesday with a forecast that it reaches $2.00 by the end of 2028, roughly seven times the level the bank used as its starting point. The note gives $ENA its first published price target from a global bank, and it rests on one mechanism. In September, Ethena token holders approved a fee switch that routes 95% of net protocol revenue into open-market $ENA purchases. Standard Chartered's case is that as $USDe grows, those purchases get large enough relative to $ENA's market value that the token has to reprice upward for the program to stay affordable. Global Head of Digital Assets Research Geoffrey Kendrick forecasts $ENA at $0.42 at end-2026, $1.10 at end-2027 and $2.00 at end-2028 in the note, titled "Ethena – A scalable yield-bearing stablecoin." The same report carries Ether at $18,000 and Bitcoin at $300,000 by end-2028, which would leave $ENA outpacing both. The forecast assumes $USDe outstanding grows to $40 billion from $4.9 billion today, against a total stablecoin market the bank sees reaching $2 trillion. $ENA traded up 22% over seven days and 54% over 30 days, and down 3.3% over 24 hours, according to CoinGecko. Its market value is about $2.5 billion, ranking 43rd. The 23% Problem Kendrick's argument runs through a ratio. If $USDe reaches $40 billion and $ENA's price stays where it is, annual buybacks would equal roughly 23% of the token's circulating market value. The bank calls that far too high to be sustained, and concludes the price rises until the buyback share settles at a defensible level. The comparison is Uniswap, where the fee switch activated in December 2025. Annualized buybacks there have stabilized at 3% to 4% of market value, a level reached partly because $UNI roughly tripled over the same period. Standard Chartered set a $100 price target on $UNI when it initiated coverage in June. The bank said this month that the $UNI target may now be too low. Applying Uniswap's equilibrium to Ethena is what produces the 7x. Buyback Arms at $7.5 Billion The fee switch passed a Snapshot vote that ran from Aug. 27 to Sept. 2, drawing 17.8 million $ENA in favor, none against, across 88 votes against a 5 million quorum. The Ethena Foundation confirmed the result on the governance forum on Sept. 8. The approved schedule ties the revenue take rate to $USDe circulating supply: 5% at $7.5 billion, 10% at $10 billion, 15% at $15 billion and 20% at $20 billion. Nothing is bought below the first threshold. $USDe's supply is $4.90 billion, according to DefiLlama, which leaves the program about 53% of growth away from its first purchase. Standard Chartered's illustrative table extends the schedule to a 25% take rate at $25 billion of $USDe supply and sources it to Ethena. The proposal on the governance forum publishes tiers through $20 billion. The proposal names the three revenue lines covered by the switch as $USDe savings, Ethena Whitelabel stablecoins and "Ethena [X]," which the Foundation said was launching the following week. Ethena Pay, a savings and payments app built on $USDe, launched on Avalanche on Sept. 1. Ethena has generated $20.1 million in fees over the past 30 days and $1.05 billion since inception, according to DefiLlama.